May 21, 2008

Another inconclusive primary night

Everything went as expected on yet another Tuesday night of primaries.
Hillary Clinton won easily in Kentucky with 65% of the votes (and 72% of the votes of white Americans). In her victory speech she pledged to continue on while thanking her supporters for their dedication. "I will never give up on you," Clinton told a cheering crowd in Louisville.
At the same time, Obama took Oregon and came one step closer to sealing the nomination. According to his campaign team, even just with the delegates that the Senator from Illinois will pick up in Kentucky despite the defeat (we must remember that delegates in the democratic primaries are apportioned proportionally to the percentage of popular vote a candidate wins), Obama amassed, as of tonight, more than half of the pledged delegates going to the convention. Speaking in Iowa, where Obama successfully kicked off the primary season in January, he said that the nomination is now "within reach."
Hillary Clinton can only hope that the superdelegates who have yet to endorse either of the candidates will choose to support her and, in doing so, will overturn the verdict carried by the pledged delegates.
In order to find a rationale that might convince the superdelegates to make this choice, the Clinton campaign is coming up with increasingly elaborate calculations that seemingly prove that the ex-first lady is actually ahead in the race.
It started with the popular vote, which according to Clinton, must include the ballots cast in Michigan and Florida despite there is no agreement yet on what to do with those two states. The most recent count, instead, has to do with the electoral votes, those that will determine the outcome of the general elections in November. Apparently Clinton has won in those states that offer more electorate votes, supposedly proving that she is a stronger candidate.The Clinton campaign keeps changing the definition of what victory is, how votes should be counted and which states matter the most, according to her showing.